Buffalo sports, by the numbers
The quant desk for the Bills and Sabres.
Predictive analysis built on every play, with a public, graded record of every call we make.
Latest
Is the Bills defense actually fixed?Jim Leonhard's 3-4 lifted the run defense from 30th to 17th but the pass defense fell from 8th to 24th, and the Bills have been worse than their opponent's norm in 6 of 7 games.
The Ledger
Every prediction is timestamped before kickoff and graded after. First card: Bills at Vikings, Monday Night Football. See the record →The rules
- Receipts. Every call is logged before kickoff and graded in public. Misses stay up.
- Predictive over descriptive. What happens next, and why.
- Plain English. One sentence you can repeat, one chart you can read.
- Traceable. Every number is computed from public play-by-play, and every method is written down.
- No betting content. This is analysis. No odds, no picks, no lines.